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In 2003, Bush Was Determined to Invade Iraq

This doesn’t seem like news:

“During a private two-hour meeting in the Oval Office on Jan. 31, 2003, he made clear to Prime Minister Tony Blair of Britain that he was determined to invade Iraq without the second resolution, or even if international arms inspectors failed to find unconventional weapons, said a confidential memo about the meeting written by Mr. Blair’s top foreign policy adviser and reviewed by The New York Times.

“Our diplomatic strategy had to be arranged around the military planning,” David Manning, Mr. Blair’s chief foreign policy adviser at the time, wrote in the memo that summarized the discussion between Mr. Bush, Mr. Blair and six of their top aides. “The start date for the military campaign was now penciled in for 10 March,” Mr. Manning wrote, paraphrasing the president. “This was when the bombing would begin.”

Stamped “extremely sensitive,” the five-page memorandum, which was circulated among a handful of Mr. Blair’s most senior aides, had not been made public. Several highlights were first published in January in the book “Lawless World,” which was written by a British lawyer and international law professor, Philippe Sands. In early February, Channel 4 in London first broadcast several excerpts from the memo.

The memo indicates the two leaders envisioned a quick victory and a transition to a new Iraqi government that would be complicated, but manageable. Mr. Bush predicted that it was “unlikely there would be internecine warfare between the different religious and ethnic groups.” Mr. Blair agreed with that assessment.”

What is the importance of this memo? More than likely, Bush assumed that Iraq would not disarm. Bush most likely assumed this considering that Hussein disregarded U.N. resolutions time and again.

So, some of the importance of this memo is to confirm that Bush did not believe a diplomatic solution was possible. However, the main question is; if Bush assumed that Hussein would never disarm, why would he not wait until he could build a stronger multi-national coalition? The strongest countries he had as of March were Britain, Spain, Portugal, and Poland. Not having France or Germany with him definitely made things more difficult. Could there have been a way to persuade the other countries to join in a military solution? Perhaps had the U.S. the expertise of other countries who were more familiar with the Middle East and its politics, we wouldn’t have a repeat of the aftermath of World War I like we have now.

We’ll never know, as Bush was dead-set on going to war in March 2003, no matter what.

7 comments to In 2003, Bush Was Determined to Invade Iraq

  • Morgan

    Heck, this article could have been looked up in Wikipedia:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_UN_security_council_and_war_on_Iraq

    Saddam Hussein had played games with the United Nations for 10 years since the end of the first Gulf War. The UN had passed 17 rresolutions calling for him to disarm. What would have made anyone think that he was suddenly going to change?

    In November 2002, the 17th resolution(Resolution 1441) was unanimously passed by the UN Security Council which stated that serious consequences would occur if these conditions were not met. These conditions included that the UN inspectors should have immediate, unconditional and unrestricted access to sites of their choosing.

    In Februrary 2003, Colin Powell showed evidence that Iraq was deliberately obstructing efforts of the UN inspectors. True, a year later, the WMD evidence turned out to be incorrect, but the fact that Iraq had continued its patterns of obfuscation to deceive the UN inspectors is still undisputed even today.

    The way I see it, Iraq to its own detriment successfully fooled the entire UN Security Council into believing that they had WMDs. Rather than take the chance of another 9/11, this administration decided to be proactive and take out a threat to this country. If I were put in his shoes at that time, I probably would have made the same call.

  • tommy handertop

    Look what has happend as a result..

    Bombing at Iraq Recruiting Center Kills 40

  • spencer

    “The UN had passed 17 rresolutions calling for him to disarm. What would have made anyone think that he was suddenly going to change?”

    Well he must’ve disarmed, since he never had anything.

    “These conditions included that the UN inspectors should have immediate, unconditional and unrestricted access to sites of their choosing.”

    And he did that after Bush started building up forces and he could see that this time the USA was serious about actually invading. The only problem was that after he complied, Bush still invaded anyway.

    “In Februrary 2003, Colin Powell showed evidence that Iraq was deliberately obstructing efforts of the UN inspectors.”

    That entire presentation was based on the words of known liars. Even the CIA suspected that the intelligence used in that presentation was bullshit, but Bush and Powell ignored that.

    http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/9991919/site/newsweek/

    The very article from wikipedia that you linked to even refers to how Hans Blix said they were being cooperative and that Powell was full of shit.

    “True, a year later, the WMD evidence turned out to be incorrect, but the fact that Iraq had continued its patterns of obfuscation to deceive the UN inspectors is still undisputed even today.”

    See above. It has been completely disputed.

    “Rather than take the chance of another 9/11, this administration decided to be proactive and take out a threat to this country.”

    Stop spreading that lie.

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/newsnight/4354269.stm

    Bush had planned to invade Iraq WELL BEFORE 9/11. He used 9/11 as a fucking EXCUSE and you know it. Maybe his motives were honorable (yeah right), but I’m willing to bet that Halliburton’s motives were not so honorable. And that still doesn’t excuse his lying to sell the war to the American public.

    Stop drinking the Koolaid.

  • You KNOW it.

    Bush LIED! And you’re a liar, too! Stop ALL THE LIES, MORGAN!

    Seriously, though: what’s the percentage in coming in here and being an asshole? What do you get out of it, spencer? The President’s a liar, Colin Powell’s a liar, my friend Morgan spreads lies, and the war was fought to enrich Halliburton. Do you really sit around all day that angry? That’s rough. Do you just troll blogs, looking to rant and bark at everyone that doesn’t share your marginalized view of current events? That’s also pretty rough.

    I mean, if you’re trying to engage anyone in discussion, this isn’t how you go about it. So either that wasn’t your purpose in commenting, or you’re just so completely lacking in basic social skills that you don’t know how to act. When it comes to changing people’s minds, does acting like an asshole really work?

    I’m just trying to understand here. What makes you different from the kind of person I wrote about here:

    http://www.thewaterglass.net/archives/001734.html

  • von

    I learned my lesson last time. I’m not playing anymore.

    War is a pretty big deal, don’t you think? What does it matter when he started planning. The earlier the better I say. In my mind it is always better to say I hope x happens. If x doesn’t happen by this date then I’m definitely going to do y. If y doesn’t happen we really need to be prepared to do z. Because z is a really big deal, we need to start planning for that now. Just in case.

  • Iraq was cooperating fully?

    Are you on drugs?

    Here’s Hans Blix

    Clip 1

    Clip 2

    Doesn’t sound like good ole Hans was convinced…

    That’s the report he gave the UN in February of 2003. Nice try to spin history.

  • Morgan

    Of course, your argument is discounting all of the shenanigans that were being played by the Iraqi military between 1990 and 2002. There were tons of reports of trucks leaving just as the UN showed up would show up at a site. There were also reports of trucks moving back and forth across the Syrian border just days before the start of the Iraq War.

    The Arms Control Association has a great chronology of all of the trials and tribulations of the UN inspectors from the Gulf War up to the start of the Iraq War.
    http://www.armscontrol.org/act/2002_10/iraqspecialoct02.asp